Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000263 0.000295 0.000330 0.000370 0.000415 0.000465 0.000524
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000212 0.000259 0.000315 0.000386 0.000475 0.000582 0.000722
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000172 0.000224 0.000290 0.000380 0.000501 0.000657 0.000878
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000147 0.000202 0.000274 0.000379 0.000528 0.000734 0.001042
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000127 0.000181 0.000257 0.000372 0.000543 0.000791 0.001185
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000114 0.000169 0.000250 0.000376 0.000574 0.000875 0.001375
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000104 0.000159 0.000243 0.000379 0.000602 0.000955 0.001570
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000090 0.000143 0.000224 0.000363 0.000595 0.000979 0.001675
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000083 0.000135 0.000218 0.000364 0.000619 0.001054 0.001877
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000133 0.000221 0.000380 0.000668 0.001178 0.002181
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000123 0.000210 0.000372 0.000673 0.001225 0.002349
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000112 0.000196 0.000355 0.000659 0.001233 0.002441
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000108 0.000193 0.000359 0.000688 0.001330 0.002730
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000107 0.000196 0.000376 0.000744 0.001486 0.003173
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000100 0.000188 0.000370 0.000753 0.001551 0.003427
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000095 0.000183 0.000369 0.000772 0.001639 0.003746
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000089 0.000175 0.000362 0.000776 0.001693 0.003996
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000086 0.000173 0.000366 0.000807 0.001811 0.004419
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000083 0.000170 0.000369 0.000835 0.001925 0.004852
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000077 0.000160 0.000353 0.000815 0.001925 0.004989
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000074 0.000157 0.000355 0.000839 0.002034 0.005436
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000074 0.000160 0.000370 0.000899 0.002241 0.006189
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000032 0.000070 0.000154 0.000362 0.000899 0.002294 0.006515